Description

This analysis provides a forecast of GRT6719 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.128271 0.143046 0.159398 0.178944 0.201807 0.227872 0.260077
2024-10-27 0.104350 0.123327 0.146062 0.175690 0.213870 0.262245 0.329573
2024-11-03 0.092488 0.114546 0.142744 0.182312 0.237889 0.315618 0.437322
2024-11-10 0.083306 0.107112 0.139197 0.187103 0.259648 0.370656 0.565334
2024-11-17 0.074055 0.097949 0.131482 0.184054 0.268668 0.408324 0.679083
2024-11-24 0.066344 0.089783 0.123783 0.179303 0.273453 0.439618 0.793117
2024-12-01 0.058709 0.080793 0.113618 0.168885 0.266432 0.447914 0.864483
2024-12-08 0.054604 0.076553 0.110082 0.168528 0.276577 0.490598 1.030210
2024-12-15 0.052110 0.074461 0.109579 0.173067 0.296416 0.558254 1.294170
2024-12-22 0.048104 0.069615 0.104058 0.167890 0.296258 0.582521 1.454800
2024-12-29 0.046572 0.068555 0.104664 0.173897 0.319983 0.669602 1.872165
2025-01-05 0.043895 0.065387 0.101330 0.171933 0.326205 0.715405 2.187533
2025-01-12 0.041840 0.063176 0.099600 0.173188 0.340744 0.791320 2.714369
2025-01-19 0.039098 0.059609 0.095141 0.168402 0.340340 0.825469 3.103526
2025-01-26 0.038010 0.058792 0.095604 0.173893 0.366468 0.953152 4.190851
2025-02-02 0.036829 0.057712 0.095455 0.178043 0.390347 1.087105 5.638746
2025-02-09 0.034916 0.055180 0.092290 0.175039 0.394157 1.151272 6.753530
2025-02-16 0.033001 0.052521 0.088661 0.170529 0.392831 1.195935 7.854079
2025-02-23 0.030668 0.048968 0.083025 0.160751 0.374346 1.162795 8.083477
2025-03-02 0.029512 0.047515 0.081456 0.160405 0.384134 1.257821 10.225310
2025-03-09 0.028900 0.047028 0.081783 0.164649 0.409238 1.440593 14.793883
2025-03-16 0.027456 0.044892 0.078577 0.159801 0.404089 1.472286 17.045641
2025-03-23 0.027074 0.044748 0.079483 0.165423 0.435380 1.722296 27.283907